The question that most traders ask with cycles is this: "how can I know when a cyclic low is in place?". There is an answer to this question, which comes in the form of the 'Cyclic Trendicator', which is our long-term indicator of trend direction and was discovered and first published in our advisory in 2003. When the Trendicator turns up or down after a long-term cycle is expected to peak or trough, the trend has changed and the cycle turn is in place. This single indicator has given us solid signals for the direction of the markets since it was introduced, and also with the backtesting that was done with this indicator prior to it's actual introduction. Not only did it correctly call the downturn into the summer of 2004 - but it also went long after the bottom and caught the subsequent ride back up as well. On the chart below you can see most of the more recent signals; note that it turned up just in time for the big rally off the Summer of 2006 low, and then turned down to catch the decline into the March 2007 low - at which time it then turned back up on 3/14/07 - which was the exact day of the market bottom! It also turned back down prior to the decline following the July, 2007 top. |
'Cyclic Trendicator' Nails the 2007 bottom and top! |
This indicator does not oscillate back and forth like most trend indicators, and it holds on with the trend like no other indicator ever developed. This is the only indicator for the daily chart of the stock indexes that tells you exactly what you want to know: Is the trend up or is it down? We use this indicator for directional purposes with the cycle work, because it is actually based on the individual cycles that are listed in the Market Turns nightly commentary. this indicator is an actual momentum measure of a composite of these cycles (from 10 days to 1080 days in length). J.M. Hurst originally discovered these cycles back in the early 1970's, and they remain |
fairly consistant in today's market as well. This indicator by itself is worth the entire cost of our subscription services, and once you use it you will agree with us that it is something you would not dare be without. The Trendicator signals are included with your daily subscription! |
